Joel S

One of the investment strategies we like is Pre-Production Sweet Spot where you more or less buy at construction decision (after financing and permitting are in place) and sell at first pour.   Default: Buy at fully permitted and fully fundedSell at First PourPre Production Sweet SpotThis page compiles from previous

June 12 I exited Trident at 0.40 for around a -20% loss. June 13 they got an all cash offer for 0.49, which had I sold a day later would have brought me to roughly breakeven.  Unlucky timing, but what else happened? Revising the Original ThesisThe initial thesis

Red Hill share price has done pretty well since I wrote about it (and since I bought shares myself and exited yesterday +53.9%).  I think there is still upside to shares, but I exited as I was looking to free up cash for other positions in my portfolio I

One of the things I've gone into in several ways in great detail on this blog is that on average within a given commodity the royalty companies outperform the physical metal which outperforms the large miners which outperform the junior miners. See for example these couple entries: Work On Your

I like to stay humble as an investor and there no better way for me to do that than starting off with a chart of Ivanhoe Mines, a company I looked at and liked and didn't invest in.  Oh look, a 10 bagger I watched go by. Ivanhoe is two

Junior mining has long been a place where bad management has a free hand to abuse investors. It's early, but two data points is all you need to show the start of a trend, and we have two data points that Twitter is having an influence in ousting some of

Making it's rounds recently on Mintwit is the Warren Buffet quote. If I was running $1 million today, or $10 million for that matter, I’d be fully invested. Anyone who says that size does not hurt investment performance is selling. The highest rates of return I’ve ever achieved

James Bay is quickly becoming a lithium spodumene region. I'm going to zoom in on some of the emerging districts, starting with what I'm calling the Adina district. It's basically the Adina project and surrounding projects. Pros Early met work from Wnsome indicate circa 75% DMS recoveries. DMS much less

I'm flexible and adjust my strategies to where I find opportunity in the market. All I know about 2024 is that I will be wrong a lot and don't know anything yet. But here's my prognostication for investing strategies for 2024. Royalty Space ConsolidationRoyalties were one of the 3 proven

Why I'm Doing This ReviewInvesting is hard.  Even the best investors will have some horrible misses. I'm a capital allocator and it's important to be honest where I've made mistakes and where I've been successful, and how each might change going forward. My portfolio returned 34.48% overall, not a

Or why I learned to stop worrying and buy spodumene projects. I'm not an expert in this area. But this blog is free, so you get to read things as I'm figuring them out. How Markets WorkIn free markets the price is set by the marginal producer matched with the

Vicuña 2.0 is a theme that much of mintwit is invested in, myself included. The Lundin group is developing the region through several publicly traded vehicles like Lunding Mining, Filo, and NGEX. Today I want to talk about the impact to the royalty companies: Elemental Altus, Sandstorm (by way

I talked in Money For NothingMonish Pabrai has a quote in his book Dhando Investor I really like: “Heads I win; tails I don’t lose much.” The idea here is to think about your upside potential and compare it to the downside risk. Realize that these are often not

A Plea To All ExplorersPlease put all your drill results into a downloadable spreadsheet.  It is super annoying to copy/paste all your drill result data from all your press releases. OverviewPre-discovery you are mostly watching for if your explorer can find a grade thickness (grade in g/t times

There's so much value to be created in the mining industry if certain deals could just be made. Big royalty companies with low cost of capital buying out small or mid sized royalty companies with good assets and good generation programs. JV partners in awkward alliances with cross purpose incentives.

Monish Pabrai has a quote in his book Dhando Investor I really like: "Heads I win; tails I don't lose much." The idea here is to think about your upside potential and compare it to the downside risk. Realize that these are often not related. Sure,  investments with more upside

This is a a tweet that got too long. When you are looking at lithium brine companies before they have a flowsheet what contaminants do you need to be concerned about? I'm not an expert in this area, but here's what I've gleaned after some reading.  If this is inaccurate

I made an informal contest on Twitter for investment ideas.  Let's talk about the entries: https://twitter.com/latinmines/status/1662198926517104641?s=20 Abaxx $ABXX.NEAka the winner (I have a small 1.25% target position now). When the prize is a book about Robert Friendland it is a bonus

In this blog I often look at individual companies and do bottoms up analysis. I tell myself I'm looking for within sector alpha, and maybe I even find some from time to time.  But mostly I do it because I'm a degenerate speculator (gambler) and enjoy it.  This post will

Altius Royalties is a company I admire with great assets and great management. My napkin pass at their assets says their mining royalties are probably undervalued. But a lot of their cash is getting reinvested in renewable energy (wind and solar in this case) royalties. I've been trying to figure

IntroductionI thought I'd ramble awhile about valuing optionality for royalty companies. I've done it three times where we bought something for $2 million worth a billion dollars. -Pierre Lassonde, Co-Founder of Franco NevadaThat is a 500x return, not 500%, 50,000%.  Once is a fluke, twice is lucky.  Three times,

It's worth talking about why I'm writing this.   November 21, 2022 Premium Nickel Resource, in which I have a long position, announced a CAD$7m bridge loan.   Premium Nickel Resources Ltd. Announces CAD $7 Million Bridge Loan | Premium Nickel Resources Ltd.Premium Nickel Resources Ltd.The previous day $PNRL.V

I'm going to start out by saying that I am not actually a lithium expert, I'm just a natural resource investor who has been trying to separate the wheat from the chaff in this lithium bubble market.  So a lot of this will be a little wrong, do your own

I have a plea to CEOs of public companies, and especially royalty companies.  Quit assuming your investors are idiots.   If you assume your investors are idiots your company will start doing things that don't make sense in the name of pleasing shareholders.  I'd like to offer an alternative: do the